2 Attempts on Elena recruitment resulted in two fails.

Attempt to recruit Ray (I've given up trying to get Elena).

Mafia guy kicked Ray for 20 health (not a crit) on the first round.

Ray hit the Mafia guy back for 9.

Ray has 58 Max Health.

Mafia guy has 80.

So... they have 50, 64 and 80 health versus my 62 and Ray's 58.

The second round. Mafia guy hits for another 20 and then his ally hits Ray for 15 more. Ray has 3 health at the end of the second round. I'm not sure what I'm supposed to do to be able to take these guys on.

My pistol shot in round 2 did a grand total of 7 damage and I had Ray use all his AP to run screaming. He died as soon as it was their turn.

I can't recruit anyone at this difficulty level. I don't think it's my tactics. I think it's the math.

Edit:

Using the Toggle City Info button to find Emila.

Survivalists are hitting us from across the map for 14 or 15.

Emilia gets a crit on a Survivalist that has closed the distance (all of the other three are staying at the back). She crit him for 14. She hits normally for 9.

She's hit for another 15.9 and spends her turn using 2 medpacks.

I'm firing twice a turn with the pistol using the aimed/normal shot (as opposed to snap shot). The last three turns (6 shots) have all been misses (meh, RNG). I have a 38% chance to hit.

I have a 23% chance to hit the guys at the back.

So, ignoring my bad luck, do the math. Assuming the guys at the back have a 20% chance to hit and the guy that's closer has a 33% chance to hit.

The guys at the back hit every 5 shots. There are three of them. That means that after 5 turns they can reasonably expect to have 3 hits. The guy halfway down hits every third turn. They hit for 14-15 each.

Because it all divides nicely... after 15 turns... The guys at the back have hit roughly 9 times and the guy half way down has hit 5 times.

So... out of 15 turns, we can expect around 14 hits.

Assume everyone misses on the first round... we can reasonably expect an average of 1 hit a round for the next 14 rounds at 14-15 damage each.

Three hits will drop Emilia as she has 42 health at full (she does have medpacks, though they are a limited supply). She heals for 9 because I gave her the Read The Label Perk.

They have high 50's to 64 health.

lol... Emilia isn't down.... because now I'm on 1 health. I had another round of not hitting... so I don't know what damage I'm doing... but Emilia is hitting consistently for 9.

I heal for 7.7, so after two medpacks, I counteract one hit.

I crit the middle guy for 11 and he's gone down. Now I have to decide whether to charge the guns down the back because I'm low on ammo. I run over to full cover behind the building. Three shoot at me. One hits. I try to get Emilia to come over with her last heal kit. I shoot at them and miss twice. The three of them shoot back and drop me before Emilia gets to me. Then Emilia gets hit because I'm not a target.

Emilia gets behind the building to heal herself. The three guys move up, close, and one kicks her twice for 13.9 and then the next guy kicks her for more and she's down.

Summary:

I don't think I can recruit anyone at the Hero difficulty.

I'm thinking that hard games just aren't my thing.

(it's 4:15am here... so maybe it's just because I'm tired)